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Noise

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In noisy systems, errors do not cancel out. — location: 432 ^ref-20201


Like many of us, this person had developed confidence in her judgment mainly by exercising it. — location: 462 ^ref-48284


Most organizations prefer consensus and harmony over dissent and conflict. The procedures in place often seem expressly designed to minimize the frequency of exposure to actual disagreements and, when such disagreements happen, to explain them away. — location: 469 ^ref-258


easy consensus about bad judgments may even reinforce the illusion of agreement. — location: 481 ^ref-30273


a singular decision is a recurrent decision that happens only once. — location: 555 ^ref-38407


the goal of accuracy—to approach truth and minimize error. The goal of judgment is not to impress, not to take a stand, not to persuade. — location: 569 ^ref-20243